After holding a fifth national vote in two years, Bulgaria is nowhere near having a stable government.
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But will ‘earthquake diplomacy’ lead to a sustainable partnership between these neighbouring nations?
Putin’s decision-making has set Russia down a path that any successor would find difficult to turn from.
The balance of power in the European Union is shifting eastwards.
While there are signs of war fatigue in German society, Berlin is unlikely to have a change of heart.
The European Political Community could help draw European states in the east closer to Brussels. But it may not do more.
With the Kremlin bogged down in war, Turkey is deftly expanding its influence — at Moscow’s cost.
Russia is unlikely to pull Bulgaria back into its immediate sphere of influence after the events of last few months.
On April 26, Russia stopped delivering gas to Bulgaria and Poland. Several weeks later, both nations are doing fine.
The incumbent president’s electoral victory will have major consequences both for Serbia and the wider region.